{"id":11018,"date":"2023-10-17T04:00:51","date_gmt":"2023-10-17T04:00:51","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/alcantara.pro.br\/portal\/?p=11018"},"modified":"2023-10-17T13:30:30","modified_gmt":"2023-10-17T13:30:30","slug":"reforma-tributaria-cenario-sombrio-para-o-cidadao","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/alcantara.pro.br\/portal\/2023\/10\/17\/reforma-tributaria-cenario-sombrio-para-o-cidadao\/","title":{"rendered":"Reforma tribut\u00e1ria: cen\u00e1rio sombrio para o cidad\u00e3o"},"content":{"rendered":"<p style=\"text-align: right;\">Por Alexandre Alcantara<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">A cada dia se\u00a0 multiplicam a quantidade palestras, workshops, semin\u00e1rios, artigos, estudos e tantas outras manifesta\u00e7\u00f5es sobre o andamento da PEC 45, a iniciativa capitaneada pelo Governo Federal para realizar a maior das reformas tribut\u00e1rias em curso, e que atinge principalmente os tributos de Estados, Distrito Federal e Munic\u00edpios. Aqui no blog fiz algumas postagens espec\u00edficas sobre o tema (confira <a href=\"https:\/\/alcantara.pro.br\/portal\/category\/tributario\/reforma-tributaria\/\"><strong>aqui<\/strong><\/a>).<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Hoje compartilho um texto que trata sobre o maior dos temores sobre essa pol\u00eamica reforma: o aumento consider\u00e1vel da carga tribut\u00e1ria e infla\u00e7\u00e3o. O texto come\u00e7a declarando que a reforma tribut\u00e1ria vai aumentar a infla\u00e7\u00e3o e a carga tribut\u00e1ria, baseando-se em <span class=\"sigijh_hlt\"><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/alcantara.pro.br\/portal\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/estudo-reforma-tributaria-cna-fgv-4out2023.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">estudo<\/a><\/strong><\/span>\u00a0realizado pela CNA (Confedera\u00e7\u00e3o Nacional da Agricultura e Pecu\u00e1ria) e pela FGV (Funda\u00e7\u00e3o Get\u00falio Vargas). O levantamento CNA\/FGV estima que, a depender do texto aprovado no Congresso, a carga tribut\u00e1ria poder\u00e1 chegar a at\u00e9 40% do PIB (Produto Interno Bruto).<\/p>\n<blockquote><p><strong>Trechos:<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Cicero Zanetti, pesquisador da FGV, disse que o estudo envolveu a FGV-Agro e tributaristas em direito. Segundo ele, a introdu\u00e7\u00e3o do IVA vai impactar diretamente a parte de servi\u00e7os, o que pressiona os pre\u00e7os no setor.<br \/>\n&#8220;[O aumento da infla\u00e7\u00e3o] \u00c9 o ponto mais sens\u00edvel da reforma. Todos os cen\u00e1rios que n\u00f3s simulamos reportam um aumento esperado do n\u00edvel de pre\u00e7os. Quando esse aumento do n\u00edvel de pre\u00e7os \u00e9 menor? Quando h\u00e1 a maior diferencia\u00e7\u00e3o [de al\u00edquotas especiais]\u201d, disse Zanetti.<\/p>\n<p>[&#8230;]<\/p>\n<p>Cicero Zanetti declarou que a reforma tribut\u00e1ria n\u00e3o \u00e9 \u201cneutra\u201d, ou seja, aumentar\u00e1 em qualquer cen\u00e1rio. Em 2022, a carga tribut\u00e1ria estava em 33%. No cen\u00e1rio sem al\u00edquota menor para determinados setores, poderia chegar a 40%.<br \/>\nEle defendeu ainda que, para minimizar esses impactos, \u00e9 preciso reduzir as al\u00edquotas para produtos do agro e cesta b\u00e1sica.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>Confira a \u00edntegra do artigo &#8220;<span class=\"sigijh_hlt\">Reforma aumentar\u00e1 infla\u00e7\u00e3o e carga tribut\u00e1ria, diz estudo<\/span>&#8221; e nele baixe os slides da apresenta\u00e7ao realizada pela equipe liderada pelo Prof. Cicero Zanetti de Lima.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-11033 size-large\" src=\"https:\/\/alcantara.pro.br\/portal\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/estudo-cna-fgv-drive-3-out-2023-04-1-2048x2048-1-1024x1024.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"640\" height=\"640\" srcset=\"https:\/\/alcantara.pro.br\/portal\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/estudo-cna-fgv-drive-3-out-2023-04-1-2048x2048-1-1024x1024.png 1024w, https:\/\/alcantara.pro.br\/portal\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/estudo-cna-fgv-drive-3-out-2023-04-1-2048x2048-1-300x300.png 300w, https:\/\/alcantara.pro.br\/portal\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/estudo-cna-fgv-drive-3-out-2023-04-1-2048x2048-1-150x150.png 150w, https:\/\/alcantara.pro.br\/portal\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/estudo-cna-fgv-drive-3-out-2023-04-1-2048x2048-1-768x768.png 768w, https:\/\/alcantara.pro.br\/portal\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/estudo-cna-fgv-drive-3-out-2023-04-1-2048x2048-1-1536x1536.png 1536w, https:\/\/alcantara.pro.br\/portal\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/estudo-cna-fgv-drive-3-out-2023-04-1-2048x2048-1.png 2048w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 640px) 100vw, 640px\" \/><\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-11034 size-large\" src=\"https:\/\/alcantara.pro.br\/portal\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/estudo-cna-fgv-drive-3-out-2023-02-1-2048x2048-1-1024x1024.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"640\" height=\"640\" srcset=\"https:\/\/alcantara.pro.br\/portal\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/estudo-cna-fgv-drive-3-out-2023-02-1-2048x2048-1-1024x1024.png 1024w, https:\/\/alcantara.pro.br\/portal\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/estudo-cna-fgv-drive-3-out-2023-02-1-2048x2048-1-300x300.png 300w, https:\/\/alcantara.pro.br\/portal\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/estudo-cna-fgv-drive-3-out-2023-02-1-2048x2048-1-150x150.png 150w, https:\/\/alcantara.pro.br\/portal\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/estudo-cna-fgv-drive-3-out-2023-02-1-2048x2048-1-768x768.png 768w, https:\/\/alcantara.pro.br\/portal\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/estudo-cna-fgv-drive-3-out-2023-02-1-2048x2048-1-1536x1536.png 1536w, https:\/\/alcantara.pro.br\/portal\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/estudo-cna-fgv-drive-3-out-2023-02-1-2048x2048-1.png 2048w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 640px) 100vw, 640px\" \/><\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-11035 size-large\" src=\"https:\/\/alcantara.pro.br\/portal\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/estudo-cna-fgv-drive-3-out-2023-01-1-2048x2048-1-1024x1024.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"640\" height=\"640\" srcset=\"https:\/\/alcantara.pro.br\/portal\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/estudo-cna-fgv-drive-3-out-2023-01-1-2048x2048-1-1024x1024.png 1024w, https:\/\/alcantara.pro.br\/portal\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/estudo-cna-fgv-drive-3-out-2023-01-1-2048x2048-1-300x300.png 300w, https:\/\/alcantara.pro.br\/portal\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/estudo-cna-fgv-drive-3-out-2023-01-1-2048x2048-1-150x150.png 150w, https:\/\/alcantara.pro.br\/portal\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/estudo-cna-fgv-drive-3-out-2023-01-1-2048x2048-1-768x768.png 768w, https:\/\/alcantara.pro.br\/portal\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/estudo-cna-fgv-drive-3-out-2023-01-1-2048x2048-1-1536x1536.png 1536w, https:\/\/alcantara.pro.br\/portal\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/estudo-cna-fgv-drive-3-out-2023-01-1-2048x2048-1.png 2048w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 640px) 100vw, 640px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Por Alexandre Alcantara A cada dia se\u00a0 multiplicam a quantidade palestras, workshops, semin\u00e1rios, artigos, estudos<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":10560,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[172],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-11018","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-reforma-tributaria"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.5 - 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